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[monks data]
Andorra national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 31, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Estadi Nacional
Hungary national football team

Andorra
1 - 4
Hungary

Pujol (90+3' pen.)
San Nicolas (15'), Alavedra (36'), Vales (73'), Pujol (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fiola (45+2'), Gazdag (51'), Kleinheisler (58'), Nego (90')
Nagy (34'), Hangya (88')

Preview: Andorra vs. Hungary - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Andorra and Hungary, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Hungary travel to Andorra on Wednesday evening, where the two nations will face off in their third World Cup 2022 qualifier in Group I.

The visitors head into this fixture unbeaten in their last eight international matches, while Andorra are winless from their last 13 games.


Match preview

Andorra coach Koldo Alvarez pictured on March 28, 2021© Reuters

Andorra lost their sixth international match in a row on Sunday after they were beaten 3-0 away in Poland, thanks to a brace from Robert Lewandowski and a late effort from Karol Swiderski.

Koldo Alvarez's side struggled to lay a glove on the hosts with just 14% possession and not a single shot on target.

Two defeats from two games sees Andorra sit in a familiar position, along with fellow European minnows San Marino, at the bottom of Group I.

Andorra have only ever won two of their 54 World Cup qualifiers across a 20-year period but their last victory was in fact a surprise 1-0 win against Wednesday's opponents Hungary in June 2017.

Alvarez's men are not expected to claim any points in midweek and are more likely to target a positive result when they face San Marino later this year.

Hungary's Roland Sallai celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on March 28, 2021© Reuters

After a thrilling 3-3 draw with Poland on Thursday, Hungary scored another three goals in their victory over San Marino on Sunday.

Adam Szalai and Roland Sallai both scored for the second successive game with Nemanja Nikolic converting a late penalty to secure a comfortable win on the road.

After dominating the game with 81% possession and 23 attempts on goal, manager Marco Rossi may have hoped that his side had won by a greater margin, but nonetheless, he will be pleased that they claimed their first three points of the campaign.

With another favourable fixture against Andorra on Wednesday, the Hungarians will fancy their chances of securing another victory, which could potentially see them move to the top of Group I on goal difference if Poland were to cause an upset against group leaders England.

Despite losing their last encounter with Andorra, Hungary have won the other three meetings against them by an aggregate score of 11-0.

Finishing this international break with seven points from three matches would put Rossi's men in a strong position to qualify for their first World Cup since 1986.

Andorra World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • L
  • L

Andorra form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Hungary World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • D
  • W

Hungary form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W


Team News

Hungary coach Marco Rossi pictured on March 28, 2021© Reuters

Andorra boss Alvarez handed an international debut to 19-year-old goalkeeper Iker Alvarez against Poland and the teenager could keep his place ahead of veteran stopper Josep Gomes.

Versatile defender Marc Rebes, who scored the only goal in the victory over Hungary four years ago, is expected to start in midfield alongside 36-year-old captain Marcio Vieira.

Aaron Sanchez started as a lone striker on Sunday and will face competition from forwards Ricard Fernandez, Alex Martinez and Jordi Alaez to keep his place in the first XI.

For Hungary, centre-back Attila Fiola is back from suspension and is in contention to replace Endre Botka in the starting lineup.

Star midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai is ruled out with a thigh injury, but his absence should not be an issue for the visitors when facing Andorra on Wednesday.

Central midfield trio Adam Nagy, Laszlo Kleinheisler and Zsolt Kalmar all started on the bench against San Marino, but could be in line to return to Rossi's starting XI, replacing Tamas Cseri, David Siger and Daniel Gazdag.

Freiburg's Sallai and Mainz 05's Szalai scored in both games against Poland and San Marino, and the two forwards are expected to keep their places up front.

Andorra possible starting lineup:
Alvarez; Rubio, Llovera, Vales, San Nicolas, Cervos; Rebes, Vieira, Pujol; A. Martinez, Alaez

Hungary possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Lang, Orban, At. Szalai; Lovrencsics, Kleinheisler, Nagy, Kalmar, K Varga; Sallai, Ad. Szalai


SM words green background

We say: Andorra 0-4 Hungary


With Poland facing England in midweek, Hungary know that this fixture against Andorra is the perfect opportunity to claim three points and move closer to the top two positions in Group I.

Despite losing their last meeting with Andorra, we believe the visitors will be too strong for the hosts and they should have no problems in securing a commanding victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Oliver Thomas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.


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