Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for MTK had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Diosgyor in this match.