Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for MTK had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a MTK win it was 2-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.