Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 29
Apr 27, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Hidegkuti Nandor Stadion
Ferencvaros

MTK
2 - 3
Ferencvaros

Jurina (58'), Polievka (63')
Kata (44'), Bognar (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gartenmann (9'), Szalai (13'), Pesic (39')
Szalai (76'), Abu Fani (86')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between MTK and Ferencvaros.

Form, Standings, Stats

MTK

All competitions
Last Game: Fehervar 1-1 MTK
Sunday, April 20 at 12.15pm in Hungarian NB I

Ferencvaros

All competitions
Last Game: Ferencvaros 7-0 Nyiregyhaza
Sunday, April 20 at 2.45pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 57.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for MTK had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a MTK win it was 2-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
MTKDrawFerencvaros
21.07% (-0.103 -0.1)21.87% (-0.1 -0.1)57.05% (0.198 0.2)
Both teams to score 57.12% (0.184 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.63% (0.315 0.31)41.37% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23% (0.316 0.32)63.76% (-0.32099999999999 -0.32)
MTK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.65% (0.082999999999998 0.08)33.34% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.03% (0.091000000000001 0.09)69.97% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.69% (0.167 0.17)14.31% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.87% (0.325 0.33)42.12% (-0.329 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    MTK 21.07%
    Ferencvaros 57.05%
    Draw 21.87%
MTKDrawFerencvaros
2-1 @ 5.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.24% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 21.07%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.77% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.87%
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.42% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.85% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.12% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.84% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.025 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.21% (0.022 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 57.05%

Head to Head
Feb 2, 2025 7.15pm
Gameweek 18
Ferencvaros
0-0
MTK
Kadar (65')
Sep 20, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 7
MTK
1-3
Ferencvaros
Bognar (18' pen.)
Gey (5')
Varga (25'), Gustavo (44'), Saldanha (80')
Ramirez (16'), Ali Ben Romdhane (62')
Apr 28, 2024 4.45pm
Gameweek 30
MTK
1-2
Ferencvaros
Nemeth (31')
Kocsis (45'), Kata (45+3'), Nemeth (45+3'), Antonov (72')
Kodro (27'), Lisztes (45+3')
Feb 6, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 19
Ferencvaros
5-1
MTK
Varga (22', 52', 53', 56'), Loncar (66')
Besic (86'), Besic (87')
Bognar (31')
Spalek (69')
Sep 30, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 8
MTK
1-6
Ferencvaros
Bognar (12')
Kata (46')
Varga (22'), Marquinhos (41', 55'), Wingo (63'), Abu Fani (86'), Pesic (90+2')
Makreckis (58')