Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Diosgyor would win this match.