Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gyori ETO win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Diosgyor had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gyori ETO win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Diosgyor win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gyori ETO would win this match.