Oman national football team
Gulf Cup of Nations | Semi-finals
Dec 31, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium
Saudi Arabia national football team

Oman
2 - 1
Saudi Arabia

Al Alawi (74'), Al-Busaidi (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Al Hamdan (60'), Kanoo (87')
Al-Juwayr (72'), Al-Ghanam (90+14')
Abdulelah (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Gulf Cup of Nations clash between Oman and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Gulf Cup of Nations
Last Game: UAE 1-1 Oman
Friday, December 27 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations
All competitions
Gulf Cup of Nations
Last Game: Iraq 1-3 Saudi Arabia
Saturday, December 28 at 2.30pm in Gulf Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Oman had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Oman win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
OmanDrawSaudi Arabia
27.49% (-18.853 -18.85)25.43% (-1.122 -1.12)47.07% (19.971 19.97)
Both teams to score 52.62% (3.65 3.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.3% (4.615 4.62)50.69% (-4.62 -4.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (3.929 3.93)72.59% (-3.933 -3.93)
Oman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06% (-9.094 -9.09)32.93% (9.09 9.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49% (-11.492 -11.49)69.51% (11.488 11.49)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45% (14.158 14.16)21.54% (-14.161 -14.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38% (17.863 17.86)54.61% (-17.867 -17.87)
Score Analysis
    Oman 27.49%
    Saudi Arabia 47.06%
    Draw 25.43%
OmanDrawSaudi Arabia
1-0 @ 7.88% (-4.321 -4.32)
2-1 @ 6.72% (-2.293 -2.29)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-4.373 -4.37)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-1.82 -1.82)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-2.561 -2.56)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.49%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.47 -0.47)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-1.418 -1.42)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.516 0.52)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.216 0.22)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 10.88% (2.114 2.11)
1-2 @ 9.29% (2.813 2.81)
0-2 @ 8.36% (3.845 3.85)
1-3 @ 4.75% (2.53 2.53)
0-3 @ 4.28% (2.728 2.73)
2-3 @ 2.64% (1.046 1.05)
1-4 @ 1.82% (1.252 1.25)
0-4 @ 1.64% (1.243 1.24)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.603 0.6)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 47.06%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group B vs 2nd position Group A

1st ranked Group B
55.6%
Draw
38.9%
2nd position Group A
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2024 5.30pm
Group Stage
Saudi Arabia
2-1
Oman
Ghareeb (78'), Albulayhi (90+6')
Tambakti (13')
Al-Yahyaei (14' pen.)
Jan 27, 2022 5.15pm
Third Round
Saudi Arabia
1-0
Oman

Al Alawi (22')
Sep 7, 2021 5pm
Third Round
Oman
0-1
Saudi Arabia
Al-Shehri (42')
Al-Malki (58')