Greek Superleague | Gameweek 6

May 11, 2025 at 6pm UK

Stadio Toumbas

PAOK
1 - 0
AEK Athens

Michailidis (45')
Zivkovic (69'), Konstantelias (84'), Kotarski (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lamela (34'), Vida (44'), Rota (45+1'), Hajsafi (76')

Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between PAOK and AEK Athens.

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions

Last Game: Olympiacos 4-2 PAOK
Sunday, May 4 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

AEK Athens

All competitions

Last Game: AEK Athens 1-2 Panathinaikos
Sunday, May 4 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for AEK Athens had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an AEK Athens win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PAOK in this match.

Result
PAOK	Draw	AEK Athens
55.05% ( 5.22)	23.86% ( -1.19)	21.09% ( -4.03)

Both teams to score 50.69% (

-1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.08% (

0.87)

49.91% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.09% (

0.77)

71.9% (

-0.77)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99% (

2.39)

18% (

-2.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.12% (

3.94)

48.87% (

-3.94)

AEK Athens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.82% (

-3.26)

38.18% (

3.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.06% (

-3.29)

74.94% (

3.29)

Score Analysis

PAOK 55.04%

AEK Athens 21.09%

Draw 23.85%

PAOK	Draw	AEK Athens
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 1.1) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( 1) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.54) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.58) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.39) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.41% Total : 55.04%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.87) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.8) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.76) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.36) Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.09%