Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	PAOK
51.5% ( -1.59)	25.17% ( -0.01)	23.32% ( 1.6)

Both teams to score 49.58% (

1.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19% (

1.57)

52.8% (

-1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

1.32)

74.43% (

-1.33)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49% (

-0.03)

20.5% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47% (

-0.05)

52.99% (

0.04)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.36% (

2.44)

37.63% (

-2.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.59% (

2.31)

74.41% (

-2.31)

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 51.5%

PAOK 23.32%

Draw 25.16%

Olympiacos	Draw	PAOK
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.79) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.59% Total : 51.5%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.16%	0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.32%