Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atromitos win with a probability of 44.1%. A draw had a probability of 29.93% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atromitos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%) , while for a Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.