UEFA Nations League

[monks data]

Nations League | League A

Oct 13, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

Germany
3 - 3
Switzerland

Werner (28'), Havertz (55'), Gnabry (60')
Gosens (36'), Kroos (65'), Rudiger (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gavranovic (5', 56'), Freuler (26')
Schar (29'), Gavranovic (50'), Xhaka (51')
Schar (90+3')

Preview: Germany vs. Switzerland - prediction, team news, lineups

By Matt Law, Football Editor

Published: October 11 2020 | 13:18

Last updated: June 5 2024 | 13:46

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Germany and Switzerland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Germany will be looking to make it back-to-back wins in the UEFA Nations League when they continue their 2020-21 campaign at home to Switzerland on Tuesday night.

Joachim Low's side recorded a 2-1 victory over Ukraine on Saturday to move onto five points in the section, while Switzerland suffered a 1-0 defeat to Spain on the same night to remain bottom of the group.

Match preview

Germany's Leon Goretzka celebrates scoring against Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League on October 10, 2020 © Reuters

Germany started their League A Group 4 campaign with back-to-back draws against Spain and Switzerland but recorded a 2-1 win over Ukraine on Saturday night.

Low's team were not at their best in Kiev but goals from Matthias Ginter and Leon Goretzka ultimately proved enough to hand the visitors an important three points in pursuit of section leaders Spain.

Die Mannschaft finished bottom of their section in the 2018-19 edition of the Nations League, picking up just two points from their four matches against the Netherlands and France.

Germany comfortably qualified for next summer's European Championships, though, winning seven of their eight matches to finish top of Group C ahead of the Netherlands.

DFB-Elf lead the overall head-to-head record over Switzerland 35 wins to nine, but the points were shared in a 1-1 draw when they locked horns towards the start of September.

Switzerland manager Vladimir Petkovic on November 12, 2017 © Reuters

Switzerland, as mentioned, will enter the match off the back of a 1-0 defeat to Spain on Saturday, with Mikel Oyarzabal scoring the only goal of the contest in the 14th minute.

Vladimir Petkovic's team are currently bottom of Group 4, having picked up just one point from their three matches, losing to Ukraine and Spain, in addition to drawing with Germany on home soil.

Switzerland impressed during the 2018-19 edition of this tournament, topping a section that included Belgium before losing to eventual winners Portugal in the semi-finals.

Nati then lost to England on penalties in the third-place playoff after a goalless draw, but they will be present at next summer's European Championships, having topped Group D ahead of Denmark.

Germany Nations League form: LLDDDW
Germany form (all competitions): WWDDDW

Switzerland Nations League form: WLLLDL
Switzerland form (all competitions): WWLDLL

Team News

Germany's Serge Gnabry celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on November 19, 2019 © Reuters

Germany boss Low is expected to make changes from the side that started against Ukraine, with Timo Werner, Emre Can and Kai Havertz likely to come into the starting XI.

The bulk of the side that started against Ukraine is expected to again feature here, though, with Toni Kroos and Joshua Kimmich likely to feature in the middle of the park.

Lukas Klostermann and Marcel Halstenberg featured as the two wing-backs on Saturday and should continue in the team here, although Robin Gosens is another option in that area of the field.

As for Switzerland, there is no Renato Steffen or Breel Embolo in the squad, while Manuel Akanji is currently in isolation after testing positive for coronavirus and will therefore not be involved.

Liverpool's Xherdan Shaqiri was expected to miss out after recently testing positive for coronavirus, but the attacker has since returned a negative test and was involved off the bench against Spain, meaning that he could come into the starting XI on Tuesday night.

Haris Seferovic has scored 19 times for Switzerland and is expected to keep his spot in attack, while Djibril Sow should again feature in the middle of the park.

Germany possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Can, Sule, Rudiger; Klostermann, Kimmich, Kroos, Halstenberg; Gnabry, Werner, Havertz

Switzerland possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Benito, Rodriguez, Schar, Elvedi, Widmer; Sow, Xhaka, Freuler; Seferovic, Shaqiri

SM words green background

We say: Germany 2-0 Switzerland

Switzerland gave Spain a tough examination on Saturday and were impressive in their 1-1 draw with Germany last month. Low's team will be determined to put back-to-back victories on the board, though, and we fancy the hosts to secure all three points in Cologne.

Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.