/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgenlog.png)
-
Alessandro Marcandalli
42'
-
Tommaso Baldanzi
45'
-
Leo Østigård
49'
-
Lorenzo Colombo
61'
-
Elias Havel
80'
-
Andrea Silipo
25'
-
Marcos Curado
85'
Genoa vs Ascoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F11%2Fgenoa-head-coach-daniele-de-rossi-pictured-on-november-9-2025-gribaudi-imagephoto-691f2f27814bb248851988.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%).
Result
Genoa
38.33%
Draw
27.94%
Ascoli
33.73%
Both Teams to Score:
50.44%
Goals
Over 1.5
70.95%
Under 1.5
29.05%
Over 2.5
46.92%
Under 2.5
53.08%
Over 3.5
26.31%
Under 3.5
73.64%
Over 4.5
14.6%
Under 4.5
85.4%
First Half Winner
Genoa
27.03%
Draw
45.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Ascoli
27.2%
▲
(+0.01)
Team To Score First
Genoa
47.07%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
9.43%
Ascoli
43.5%
▼
(-0.01)
Corners
Over 8
42.73%
Equal 8
11.63%
Under 8
45.64%
Over 9
32.2%
Equal 9
10.52%
Under 9
57.27%
Over 10.5
23.4%
Under 10.5
76.6%
Genoa Goals
Over 1.5
36.35%
Under 1.5
63.65%
Over 2.5
15.51%
Under 2.5
84.49%
Over 3.5
4.67%
Under 3.5
95.33%
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5
66.73%
Under 0.5
33.27%
Over 1.5
33.02%
Under 1.5
66.98%
Over 2.5
12.71%
Under 2.5
87.29%
Over 3.5
4.62%
Under 3.5
95.38%
Score analysis
Genoa
38.34%
Draw
27.93%
Ascoli
33.72%
Genoa
1-0
@
9.99%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 38.34%
2-1 @ 7.87%
2-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.16%
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 38.34%
Draw
1-1
@
12.3%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 27.93%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 27.93%
Ascoli
0-1
@
9.62%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 33.72%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 2.88%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 33.72%