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Fulham logo
Premier League | Gameweek 23
Feb 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
West Ham logo
Fulham
0 - 0
West Ham

Andersen (90+3')
FT

Ogbonna (75'), Fabianski (90')
Soucek (90+7')

Preview: Fulham vs. West Ham United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Fulham and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fulham will be looking to end the Premier League's longest current winless streak when they welcome London rivals West Ham United to Craven Cottage on Saturday afternoon.

Scott Parker's men have gone 11 top-flight games without a win, whereas their visitors have won seven of their eight games across all competitions since the turn of the year.


Match preview

Fulham manager Scott Parker pictured on January 9, 2021© Reuters

Parker bristled at the suggestion that time is running out for his side in the Premier League relegation battle following their 2-0 loss to high-flying Leicester City on Wednesday night, but the stats look increasingly bleak for the Cottagers.

That defeat to the Foxes, coupled with Brighton & Hove Albion's shock win at Liverpool, means that the gap to safety is now eight points with 17 games remaining - a steep mountain to climb for a team that has amassed just 14 points from their opening 21 outings.

Fulham's ongoing 11-match winless run does include seven draws, so points are coming on a fairly regular basis, but they need to start turning some of those draws into wins if they are to close the gap to those above them.

The Cottagers have won a joint league-low two games so far this campaign and 13 of the 15 previous Premier League teams to have had two wins or fewer to their name at this stage of a season have gone on to be relegated - although Fulham themselves were one of the exceptions in 2007-08.

If they are to repeat that rare achievement this season then an improvement is needed sooner rather than later, but given that four of their next six games come against teams currently in the top six, they will need to pull off a few shocks along the way.

Fulham's Ivan Cavaleiro celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on January 30, 2021© Reuters

Parker's side have not been completely averse to doing that already this season, with draws against Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur and a win away at Leicester, but that will need to happen much more regularly from now on.

Another aspect of their form which will need to significantly improve if they are to escape the drop is their home record, with no team having picked up fewer points or scored fewer goals on their own patch this season.

Wednesday's defeat to Leicester means that Fulham have now lost their opening four home games of a calendar year for the first time ever as a Football League club, while they have won just one of their last 12 top-flight home games, picking up three points from a possible 36 in that time.

It is therefore not the best time to be welcoming a West Ham side that has won all four of their away outings since the turn of the year, including three Premier League away games on the bounce for the first time since December 2018.

Another triumph at Craven Cottage would make it four in a row for the first time since September 2007 and, given that only four teams have picked up more points on the road throughout the whole season, they will be favourites to do just that.

West Ham United's Jesse Lingard celebrates scoring against Aston Villa in the Premier League on February 3, 2021© Reuters

The Hammers were once again impressive en route to a 3-1 win at Aston Villa on Wednesday night, a result which leaves David Moyes's side fifth in the Premier League table and only two points off champions Liverpool in fourth.

Indeed, their tally of 38 points from 22 games is their highest at this stage of a top-flight season since 1985-86, when they went on to finish in third place.

The prospect of a European spot is still very much a realistic one, then, and they can strengthen their case with two of the bottom three to come in their next two league games.

West Ham's record in away London derbies is not particularly good, with last month's win at Crystal Palace ending a run of six such games without a win, including five defeats, but it still outstrips Fulham's record in capital battles.

The Cottagers are winless in their last 19 top-flight London derbies, taking two points from a possible 57 in that time including three successive defeats to West Ham, while they have conceded in each of their last 28 such matches.

Fulham Premier League form: DLLDDL
Fulham form (all competitions): LLLDDL

West Ham United Premier League form: WWWWLW
West Ham United form (all competitions): WWWWLW



Team News

Josh Maja pictured for Bordeaux in November 2020© Reuters

Neither side have any fresh injury concerns following the midweek fixtures, but there could be changes nonetheless with new Fulham signing Josh Maja pushing for his debut.

Bobby Decordova-Reid and Ivan Cavaleiro will also be pushing for recalls, while Tom Cairney and Terence Kongolo remain sidelined for the hosts.

West Ham will still be without Arthur Masuaku, while back-up goalkeeper Darren Randolph is doubtful.

Manchester United loanee Jesse Lingard was handed a start against Aston Villa and rewarded Moyes with a brace - only the second player to score twice on their Premier League debut for West Ham, after Trevor Sinclair in January 1998.

Indeed, Lingard has now scored in each of his last two Premier League appearances - although those were separated by 192 days - and another goal on Saturday would see him net three times in a row for the first time in his career.

Lingard still has some way to go to catch Tomas Soucek, who has scored more Premier League goals than any other midfielder this season if you exclude penalties.

Jarrod Bowen should be brought back into the starting XI, while Pablo Fornals will also be pushing for a recall.

Fulham possible starting lineup:
Areola; Aina, Andersen, Adarabioyo; Tete, Loftus-Cheek, Reed, Anguissa, Robinson; Maja, Lookman

West Ham United possible starting lineup:
Fabianski; Coufal, Dawson, Ogbonna, Cresswell; Rice, Soucek; Bowen, Lingard, Fornals; Antonio


SM words green background

We say: Fulham 0-2 West Ham United

Fulham have proven themselves difficult to beat in recent weeks despite their own struggles to pick up a win, but the form book points firmly to a West Ham victory in this match.

The Hammers bounced back immediately from defeat to Liverpool by beating Aston Villa, boast a good record against Fulham and also know that victory would lift them into the top four again, at least for a day.

Fulham have only scored once in their last five home league games and so we can also see Moyes's men keeping a clean sheet en route to the three points.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 49.66%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 24.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-0 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.


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West Ham United manager David Moyes pictured on January 1, 2021
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