Club Friendlies 4
-
Arturo Molina
25'
-
Serigne Faye
78'
-
Carlos Javier Diez Pagonessa
28'
-
Roberto Martín
38'
Ponferradina vs Real Madrid Castilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Real Madrid Castilla had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Real Madrid Castilla win was 0-1 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result
Ponferradina
39.78%
▲
(+0.63)
Draw
28.15%
▼
(-0.24)
Real Madrid Castilla
32.12%
▼
(-0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
51.46%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 1.5
70.72%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
29.28%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 2.5
45.87%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
54.13%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
24.51%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
75.49%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
13.05%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
86.95%
▼
(-0.04)
First Half Winner
Ponferradina
31.58%
▲
(+1.07)
Draw
45.89%
▼
(-0.97)
Real Madrid Castilla
22.53%
▼
(-0.11)
Team To Score First
Ponferradina
52.81%
▲
(+1.36)
No Goal
9.42%
▼
(-0.14)
Real Madrid Castilla
37.77%
▼
(-1.22)
Corners
Over 8
40.71%
▼
(-4.05)
Equal 8
11.92%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 8
47.37%
▲
(+4.25)
Over 9
30.09%
▼
(-3.52)
Equal 9
10.62%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 9
59.29%
▲
(+4.05)
Over 10.5
21.36%
▼
(-2.81)
Under 10.5
78.64%
▲
(+2.80)
Ponferradina Goals
Over 1.5
37.23%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 1.5
62.77%
▼
(-0.68)
Over 2.5
14.23%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 2.5
85.77%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
4.41%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
95.59%
▼
(-0.10)
Real Madrid Castilla Goals
Over 0.5
65.58%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 0.5
34.42%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
31.23%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 1.5
68.77%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 2.5
11.43%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 2.5
88.57%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 3.5
3.64%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
96.36%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Ponferradina
39.78%
Draw
28.15%
Real Madrid Castilla
32.11%
Ponferradina
1-0
@
10.64%
▼
(-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.30)
2-0 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 39.78%
2-1 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.30)
2-0 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 3.61%
3-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 39.78%
Draw
1-1
@
12.59%
▼
(-0.13)
0-0 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.15%
0-0 @ 9.42% ▼ (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.15%
Real Madrid Castilla
0-1
@
9.26%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 32.11%
1-2 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.53% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 32.11%
Head to Head
Segunda Division
-
Jonathan Ruiz
23'
Segunda Division
-
Franco
20'
-
Jaime Romero Gomez
45'
-
Omar
61'
-
Pulido
83'
-
Javier Carpio
45'
-
Javier Carpio
46'
-
Miguel Robuste Colomer
47'
-
Yuri
84'
-
Julen Castaneda
87'