Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ventforet Kofu win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for ThespaKusatsu Gunma had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ventforet Kofu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest ThespaKusatsu Gunma win was 0-1 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.