AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 10am UK
Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Ulsan
3 - 0
Ventforet Kofu

Min-Kyu (37', 45' pen.), Seol (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Utaka (87')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Ulsan Hyundai and Ventforet Kofu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ulsan Hyundai

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Last Game: Ulsan 2-2 Kawasaki
Tuesday, December 12 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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Ventforet Kofu

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Last Game: Buriram Utd 2-3 Ventforet Kofu
Tuesday, December 12 at 9.30am in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
Ulsan HyundaiDrawVentforet Kofu
52.22% (-0.356 -0.36)22.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)24.89% (0.368 0.37)
Both teams to score 58.63% (0.45 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33% (0.408 0.41)41.67% (-0.405 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.93% (0.411 0.41)64.07% (-0.407 -0.41)
Ulsan Hyundai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (0.024000000000001 0.02)16.02% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.64% (0.042000000000002 0.04)45.36% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Ventforet Kofu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.81% (0.51899999999999 0.52)30.19% (-0.515 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65% (0.617 0.62)66.35% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Ulsan Hyundai 52.22%
    Ventforet Kofu 24.89%
    Draw 22.88%
Ulsan HyundaiDrawVentforet Kofu
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.021 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 52.22%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.84% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.069 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 24.89%

How you voted: Ulsan vs Ventforet Kofu

Ulsan Hyundai
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Ventforet Kofu
0.0%
6