AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Feb 21, 2024 at 9am UK

Yamanashi Chuo Bank Stadium

Ventforet Kofu
1 - 2
Ulsan

(Ulsan Hyundai win 5-1 on aggregate)

Mitsuhira (88')
Mancha (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kim (11'), Min-Kyu (90+4')
Ko (28'), Lee (73'), Lee (80')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Round of 16 clash between Ventforet Kofu and Ulsan Hyundai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ventforet Kofu

Last Game: Ulsan 3-0 Ventforet Kofu
Thursday, February 15 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Ulsan Hyundai

Last Game: Ulsan 3-0 Ventforet Kofu
Thursday, February 15 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
Ventforet Kofu	Draw	Ulsan Hyundai
32.06% ( 0.03)	24.98% ( 0.05)	42.96% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.49% (

-0.23)

46.5% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.22% (

-0.22)

68.78% (

0.21)

Ventforet Kofu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

-0.09)

27.57% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91% (

-0.12)

63.09% (

0.11)

Ulsan Hyundai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

-0.14)

21.65% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

-0.21)

54.78% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Ventforet Kofu 32.06%

Ulsan Hyundai 42.96%

Draw 24.97%

Ventforet Kofu	Draw	Ulsan Hyundai
1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.06%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.96%