Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 1-0 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.