Club Friendlies 3
Jan 19, 2026 1.30am
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT Ōita Bank Dome

Oita Trinita vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oita Trinita

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 2.00am
Tokyo Verdy 0 - 4 Oita Trinita

ThespaKusatsu Gunma

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Oita Trinita win was 1-0 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result

Oita Trinita 31.5% (-0.11)
Draw 25.43% (+0.11)
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 43.07% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.9% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.5% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 25.5% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 50.27% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 49.73% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 28.28% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.72% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.93% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.07% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Oita Trinita 24.15% (-0.17)
Draw 44.32% (+0.42)
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 31.53% (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Oita Trinita 39.42% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.84% (+0.05)
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 53.74% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 49.75% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.73%
Under 8 38.53%
Over 9 38.52%
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 50.25% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 28.62% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 71.38% (-0.02)

Oita Trinita Goals

Over 1.5 32.21% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 67.79% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 12.09% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 87.91% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 3.69% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.31% (+0.02)

ThespaKusatsu Gunma Goals

Over 0.5 74.33% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 25.67% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 41.11% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 58.89% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 17.42% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 82.58% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.1%
Under 3.5 93.9%

Score analysis

Oita Trinita 31.5%
Draw 25.44%
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 43.06%
Oita Trinita
1-0 @ 8.42% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.88% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.07)
Other @ 3.57% (-0.02)
Total : 31.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.51% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.84% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.44%
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-1 @ 10.24% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.84% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.18%
0-3 @ 3.08% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.04%
Other @ 5.98%
Total : 43.06%