Club Friendlies 3
Jul 4, 2026 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Ekaterinburg Arena
  • 3' goal
  • goal 4'

Ural Yekaterinburg vs Chelyabinsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ural Yekaterinburg

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 1.00pm
Ural 0 - 1 Akron

Chelyabinsk

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 8.00am
Chelyabinsk 2 - 1 Zenit II

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw has a probability of 24.08% and a win for Chelyabinsk has a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.71%) , while for a Chelyabinsk win it is 0-1 (6.32%).

Result

Ural Yekaterinburg 59.86% ▲ (+0.73)
Draw 24.08% ▼ (-0.33)
Chelyabinsk 16.06% ▼ (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.39%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 30.16% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 45.43% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 2.5 54.52% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 23.75% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 76.25% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.9% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 4.5 86.1% ▼ (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Ural Yekaterinburg 43.91% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 41.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Chelyabinsk 14.6% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Ural Yekaterinburg 64.23% ▲ (+0.40)
No Goal 9.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Chelyabinsk 26.73% ▼ (-0.38)

Corners

Over 8 40.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 48.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 30.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 10.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 59.46% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 22.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 77.88% ▼ (-0.02)

Ural Yekaterinburg Goals

Over 1.5 50.34% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 1.5 49.66% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 2.5 23.8% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 2.5 76.2% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 9.09% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 90.91% ▼ (-0.18)

Chelyabinsk Goals

Over 0.5 48.84% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 0.5 51.16% ▲ (+0.49)
Over 1.5 16.45% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 83.55% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 2.5 4.3% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 95.7% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 0.99% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 99.01% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Ural Yekaterinburg 59.86%
Draw 24.08%
Chelyabinsk 16.06%
Ural Yekaterinburg
1-0 @ 14.8% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.12)
2-1 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.23)
Total : 59.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.71% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 24.08%
Chelyabinsk
0-1 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.10)
1-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.89% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 16.06%