Club Friendlies 3
Jan 17, 2026 11.00am
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion MOSiR
  • 11' goal
  • 44' goal
  • Paweł Kruszelnicki 44' goal

Stal Mielec vs Chelmianka Chełm - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions

Chelmianka Chełm

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Chelmianka Chełm had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Chelmianka Chełm win was 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Stal Mielec 44.34%
Draw 23.05%
Chelmianka Chełm 32.62% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.55%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 15.92% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 64.71% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 35.29% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 42.21% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 57.79% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 26.93% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 73.07% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Stal Mielec 33.27% (-0.05)
Draw 38.29% (+0.02)
Chelmianka Chełm 28.43% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Stal Mielec 50.42% (-0.02)
No Goal 4.18% (+0.01)
Chelmianka Chełm 45.4% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 68.33% (-0.02)
Equal 8 9.73%
Under 8 21.94% (+0.02)
Over 9 57.58% (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.75%
Under 9 31.67% (+0.03)
Over 10.5 46.65% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 53.35% (+0.03)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 1.5 49.97% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.03% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 25.98% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.02% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.53% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.47% (+0.02)

Chelmianka Chełm Goals

Over 0.5 69.67% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.33% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.55%
Under 1.5 59.45%
Over 2.5 19.09% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.56% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.44% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Stal Mielec 44.33%
Draw 23.05%
Chelmianka Chełm 32.63%
Stal Mielec
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.66% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.96% (-0.01)
Total : 44.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 23.05%
Chelmianka Chełm
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.09% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.99% (-0.01)
Total : 32.63%