Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Chelmianka Chełm had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Chelmianka Chełm win was 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.