Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Samgurali had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 29.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Alashkert FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Samgurali win was 1-0 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.