Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oita Trinita win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Giravanz Kitakyushu had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oita Trinita win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Giravanz Kitakyushu win was 0-1 (9.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.