Club Friendlies 3
Mar 15, 2026 5.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Best Amenity Stadium

Sagan Tosu vs Giravanz Kitakyushu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 1.30am
Sagan Tosu 4 - 2 Mito Hollyhock

Giravanz Kitakyushu

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 2.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 2 - 1 Giravanz Kitakyushu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 48.12%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Giravanz Kitakyushu had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%) , while for a Giravanz Kitakyushu win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Sagan Tosu 48.12%
Draw 27.2%
Giravanz Kitakyushu 24.68%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.82%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.1%
Under 1.5 28.9%
Over 2.5 45.97%
Under 2.5 54.03%
Over 3.5 24.38%
Under 3.5 75.62%
Over 4.5 13.01%
Under 4.5 86.99%

First Half Winner

Sagan Tosu 33.08%
Draw 45.41%
Giravanz Kitakyushu 21.51%

Team To Score First

Sagan Tosu 55.08%
No Goal 8.59%
Giravanz Kitakyushu 36.33%

Corners

Over 8 52.66%
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 35.2%
Over 9 40.77%
Equal 9 11.89%
Under 9 47.34%
Over 10.5 30.1%
Under 10.5 69.9%

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 1.5 43.03%
Under 1.5 56.97%
Over 2.5 18.45%
Under 2.5 81.55%
Over 3.5 6.17%
Under 3.5 93.83%

Giravanz Kitakyushu Goals

Over 0.5 60.13%
Under 0.5 39.87%
Over 1.5 25.2%
Under 1.5 74.8%
Over 2.5 7.52%
Under 2.5 92.48%
Over 3.5 2.06%
Under 3.5 97.94%

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 48.12%
Draw 27.2%
Giravanz Kitakyushu 24.68%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 8.52%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 6.09%
Total : 48.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.59%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 27.2%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0-1 @ 7.96%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.68%