Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 9.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Sunpro Alwin Stadium (Matsumoto)
  • 8' goal
  • 31' goal
  • 60' goal

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Matsumoto Yamaga

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 0 Matsumoto Yamaga

Ventforet Kofu

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 4.00am
Ventforet Kofu 2 - 0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Matsumoto Yamaga win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Matsumoto Yamaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win was 0-1 (10.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result

Matsumoto Yamaga 41.17%
Draw 28.67%
Ventforet Kofu 30.16%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.02% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.8% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 34.2% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 40.01% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 59.99% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 19.46%
Under 3.5 80.54%
Over 4.5 9.61% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.39% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Matsumoto Yamaga 29.99% (+0.01)
Draw 46.29% (-0.01)
Ventforet Kofu 23.72%

Team To Score First

Matsumoto Yamaga 48.91% (+0.06)
No Goal 10.73%
Ventforet Kofu 40.36% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 61.36% (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 26.75% (+0.04)
Over 9 48.82% (-0.04)
Equal 9 12.55%
Under 9 38.64% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 36.82% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 63.18% (+0.03)

Matsumoto Yamaga Goals

Over 1.5 34.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 65.37% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.62% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.38% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.65%
Under 3.5 96.35%

Ventforet Kofu Goals

Over 0.5 62.04% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 37.96% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 26.38% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.62% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.95% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.05% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.11%
Under 3.5 97.89%

Score analysis

Matsumoto Yamaga 41.16%
Draw 28.68%
Ventforet Kofu 30.16%
Matsumoto Yamaga
1-0 @ 12.84%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 41.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.02% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.68%
Ventforet Kofu
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 7% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.75% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 30.16%