Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 9.00am
Naganoken Matsumotodaira Wide Area Park General Stadium

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Ventforet Kofu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Matsumoto Yamaga

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 2.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 0 Matsumoto Yamaga

Ventforet Kofu

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 4.00am
Ventforet Kofu 2 - 0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Matsumoto Yamaga win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Ventforet Kofu has a probability of 30.16% and a draw has a probability of 28.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Matsumoto Yamaga win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win is 0-1 (10.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.03%).

Result

Matsumoto Yamaga 41.17% (-0.02)
Draw 28.67% (+0.02)
Ventforet Kofu 30.16% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.04% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.83% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 34.17% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 40.02% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 59.98% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 19.46% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 80.54% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 9.62%
Under 4.5 90.38%

First Half Winner

Matsumoto Yamaga 29.98% (-0.02)
Draw 46.3% (-0.02)
Ventforet Kofu 23.72% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Matsumoto Yamaga 48.85% (-0.05)
No Goal 10.73% (+0.06)
Ventforet Kofu 40.42%

Corners

Over 8 61.4% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.89%
Under 8 26.71% (-0.03)
Over 9 48.85% (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.55% (+0.02)
Under 9 38.6% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 36.84% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 63.16% (-0.02)

Matsumoto Yamaga Goals

Over 1.5 34.65% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.35% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 12.64% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.36% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.65%
Under 3.5 96.35%

Ventforet Kofu Goals

Over 0.5 62.07% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 37.93% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 26.39% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 73.61% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.94% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.06% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.11%
Under 3.5 97.89%

Score analysis

Matsumoto Yamaga 41.18%
Draw 28.69%
Ventforet Kofu 30.16%
Matsumoto Yamaga
1-0 @ 12.84% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.61% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 41.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.73% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 28.69%
Ventforet Kofu
0-1 @ 10.63% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 30.16%