Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 48%. A win for Miedz Legnica had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Miedz Legnica win was 1-2 (6.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.