Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2026 2.00am
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Montedio Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Montedio Yamagata

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Montedio Yamagata has a probability of 32.2% and a draw has a probability of 28.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albirex Niigata win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Montedio Yamagata win is 0-1 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.83%).

Result

Albirex Niigata 39.65% ▼ (-3.61)
Draw 28.11% ▼ (-0.91)
Montedio Yamagata 32.2% ▲ (+4.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.18% ▲ (+4.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.97% ▲ (+2.36)
Under 1.5 28.03% ▼ (-2.36)
Over 2.5 47.87% ▲ (+3.32)
Under 2.5 52.13% ▼ (-3.32)
Over 3.5 26.08% ▲ (+3.25)
Under 3.5 73.92% ▼ (-3.25)
Over 4.5 14.36% ▲ (+2.13)
Under 4.5 85.64% ▼ (-2.13)

First Half Winner

Albirex Niigata 30.65% ▲ (+1.38)
Draw 45.16% ▼ (-5.91)
Montedio Yamagata 24.2% ▲ (+4.53)

Team To Score First

Albirex Niigata 48.19% ▼ (-2.43)
No Goal 8.93% ▼ (-0.94)
Montedio Yamagata 42.88% ▲ (+3.36)

Corners

Over 8 66.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.6% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 8 22.64% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 9 55.1% ▲ (+0.58)
Equal 9 11.65% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 9 33.25% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 43.42% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 10.5 56.58% ▼ (-1.04)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 1.5 38.06% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 1.5 61.94% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 2.5 15.17% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 2.5 84.83% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 3.5 4.88% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.12% ▲ (+0.13)

Montedio Yamagata Goals

Over 0.5 66.5% ▲ (+4.25)
Under 0.5 33.5% ▼ (-4.25)
Over 1.5 32.28% ▲ (+5.16)
Under 1.5 67.72% ▼ (-5.16)
Over 2.5 12.01% ▲ (+3.07)
Under 2.5 87.99% ▼ (-3.07)
Over 3.5 3.82% ▲ (+1.32)
Under 3.5 96.18% ▼ (-1.32)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 39.65%
Draw 28.11%
Montedio Yamagata 32.2%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.17% ▼ (-1.45)
2-1 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.44)
2-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-1.25)
3-1 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.54)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.25)
Other @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 39.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% ▼ (-0.40)
0-0 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.94)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.54)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 28.11%
Montedio Yamagata
0-1 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.48% ▲ (+0.64)
0-2 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.68)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.73)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.64)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.41)
Other @ 3.71% ▲ (+1.39)
Total : 32.2%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
3
4
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • 65' goal
  • 88' goal
  • 90' goal
  • goal 4'
  • goal 45'+2'
  • goal 49'
  • goal 90'+4'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'