Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2026 2.00am
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Montedio Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Montedio Yamagata

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 43.25%. A draw has a probability of 29.01% and a win for Montedio Yamagata has a probability of 27.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albirex Niigata win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.22%) , while for a Montedio Yamagata win it is 0-1 (8.85%).

Result

Albirex Niigata 43.25% (-0.07)
Draw 29.01% (-0.01)
Montedio Yamagata 27.69% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.11% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.61% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 30.39% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 44.55% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 55.45% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 22.83% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 77.17% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12.23% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 87.77% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Albirex Niigata 29.27% (-0.15)
Draw 51.06% (+0.07)
Montedio Yamagata 19.67% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Albirex Niigata 50.61% (-0.12)
No Goal 9.87% (+0.03)
Montedio Yamagata 39.52% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 66.67% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11% (+0.01)
Under 8 22.33% (-0.08)
Over 9 54.53% (+0.07)
Equal 9 12.14% (+0.01)
Under 9 33.33% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 42.39% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 57.61% (-0.04)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 1.5 39.14% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 60.86% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 15.73% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 84.27% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95% (+0.02)

Montedio Yamagata Goals

Over 0.5 62.26%
Under 0.5 37.74%
Over 1.5 27.13% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.87% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 8.95% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.05% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.5% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.5% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 43.25%
Draw 29.01%
Montedio Yamagata 27.69%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.67% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.82% (-0.02)
Total : 43.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.87% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 29.01%
Montedio Yamagata
0-1 @ 8.85% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.85% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.17% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11%
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.32% (+0.03)
Total : 27.69%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
3
4
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • 65' goal
  • 88' goal
  • 90' goal
  • goal 4'
  • goal 45'+2'
  • goal 49'
  • goal 90'+4'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'