Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2026 2.00am
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Montedio Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
Albirex Niigata 3 - 4 Montedio Yamagata

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Montedio Yamagata has a probability of 32.2% and a draw has a probability of 28.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albirex Niigata win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Montedio Yamagata win is 0-1 (8.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.83%).

Result

Albirex Niigata 39.65% (-3.61)
Draw 28.11% (-0.91)
Montedio Yamagata 32.2% (+4.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.18% (+4.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.97% (+2.36)
Under 1.5 28.03% (-2.36)
Over 2.5 47.87% (+3.32)
Under 2.5 52.13% (-3.32)
Over 3.5 26.08% (+3.25)
Under 3.5 73.92% (-3.25)
Over 4.5 14.36% (+2.13)
Under 4.5 85.64% (-2.13)

First Half Winner

Albirex Niigata 30.65% (+1.38)
Draw 45.16% (-5.91)
Montedio Yamagata 24.2% (+4.53)

Team To Score First

Albirex Niigata 48.19% (-2.43)
No Goal 8.93% (-0.94)
Montedio Yamagata 42.88% (+3.36)

Corners

Over 8 66.75% (+0.08)
Equal 8 10.6% (-0.41)
Under 8 22.64% (+0.32)
Over 9 55.1% (+0.58)
Equal 9 11.65% (-0.50)
Under 9 33.25% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 43.42% (+1.04)
Under 10.5 56.58% (-1.04)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 1.5 38.06% (-1.08)
Under 1.5 61.94% (+1.08)
Over 2.5 15.17% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 84.83% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 4.88% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 95.12% (+0.13)

Montedio Yamagata Goals

Over 0.5 66.5% (+4.25)
Under 0.5 33.5% (-4.25)
Over 1.5 32.28% (+5.16)
Under 1.5 67.72% (-5.16)
Over 2.5 12.01% (+3.07)
Under 2.5 87.99% (-3.07)
Over 3.5 3.82% (+1.32)
Under 3.5 96.18% (-1.32)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 39.65%
Draw 28.11%
Montedio Yamagata 32.2%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.17% (-1.45)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.44)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-1.25)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.54)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.25)
Other @ 4.77% (-0.06)
Total : 39.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.40)
0-0 @ 8.93% (-0.94)
2-2 @ 5.32% (+0.54)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.07)
Total : 28.11%
Montedio Yamagata
0-1 @ 8.89% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.48% (+0.64)
0-2 @ 4.85% (+0.68)
1-3 @ 2.83% (+0.73)
2-3 @ 2.23% (+0.64)
0-3 @ 2.21% (+0.41)
Other @ 3.71% (+1.39)
Total : 32.2%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
3
4
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • 65' goal
  • 88' goal
  • 90' goal
  • goal 4'
  • goal 45'+2'
  • goal 49'
  • goal 90'+4'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'