Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 13, 2026 8.00am
Albirex Niigata 0 - 0 Sagan Tosu

Montedio Yamagata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Mar 30, 2026 4.00am
Montedio Yamagata 0 - 2 Iwaki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 43.47%. A draw has a probability of 29.04% and a win for Montedio Yamagata has a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albirex Niigata win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.29%) , while for a Montedio Yamagata win it is 0-1 (8.85%).

Result

Albirex Niigata 43.47% (+0.05)
Draw 29.04% (-0.02)
Montedio Yamagata 27.5% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.07% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.52% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 30.48% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 44.35% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 55.65% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 22.71% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 77.29% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 12.15% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 87.85% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Albirex Niigata 29.44% (-0.03)
Draw 51.04% (+0.08)
Montedio Yamagata 19.52% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Albirex Niigata 50.79% (+0.01)
No Goal 9.9% (+0.02)
Montedio Yamagata 39.31% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.43%
Equal 8 11.05% (+0.03)
Under 8 22.52% (-0.02)
Over 9 54.25% (-0.03)
Equal 9 12.18% (+0.02)
Under 9 33.57%
Over 10.5 42.1% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 57.9% (+0.04)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 1.5 39.17% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 60.83% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.74% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.26% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.01% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.99% (+0.02)

Montedio Yamagata Goals

Over 0.5 62.08% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 37.92% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 26.86% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 73.14% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 8.78% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 91.22% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 2.42% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.58% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 43.47%
Draw 29.04%
Montedio Yamagata 27.49%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.73% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.71% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 4.85%
Total : 43.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.9% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 29.04%
Montedio Yamagata
0-1 @ 8.85%
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.26% (-0.02)
Total : 27.49%