Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 11.00am
3
4
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • 65' goal
  • 88' goal
  • 90' goal
  • goal 4'
  • goal 45'+2'
  • goal 49'
  • goal 90'+4'
  • yellowcard 90'+6'

Albirex Niigata vs Montedio Yamagata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 13, 2026 8.00am
Albirex Niigata 0 - 0 Sagan Tosu

Montedio Yamagata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Mar 30, 2026 4.00am
Montedio Yamagata 0 - 2 Iwaki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.13% and a win for Montedio Yamagata had a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%) , while for a Montedio Yamagata win it was 0-1 (8.84%).

Result

Albirex Niigata 43.49% (+0.03)
Draw 29.13% (+0.09)
Montedio Yamagata 27.38% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.04% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.46% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 30.54% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 44.31% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 55.69% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.67% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 77.33% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.12% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 87.88% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Albirex Niigata 29.56% (+0.12)
Draw 50.85% (-0.19)
Montedio Yamagata 19.59% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Albirex Niigata 50.77% (-0.02)
No Goal 9.95% (+0.05)
Montedio Yamagata 39.28% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 66.56% (+0.13)
Equal 8 11.04% (-0.02)
Under 8 22.41% (-0.11)
Over 9 54.37% (+0.12)
Equal 9 12.18%
Under 9 33.45% (-0.12)
Over 10.5 42.2% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 57.8% (-0.11)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 1.5 39.19% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 60.81% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.76% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.24% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.01%
Under 3.5 94.99%

Montedio Yamagata Goals

Over 0.5 62.02% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 37.98% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 26.79% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 73.21% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 8.74% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.26% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.42%
Under 3.5 97.58%

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 43.48%
Draw 29.14%
Montedio Yamagata 27.37%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 11.74% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38%
2-0 @ 7.72% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-1 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37%
Other @ 4.83% (-0.02)
Total : 43.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.95% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.02)
Total : 29.14%
Montedio Yamagata
0-1 @ 8.84% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.14% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.24% (-0.02)
Total : 27.37%