Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for J-Lease FC had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest J-Lease FC win was 0-1 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.