Club Friendlies 3
Feb 23, 2026 4.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata vs J-Lease FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions

J-Lease FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for J-Lease FC had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest J-Lease FC win was 0-1 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Albirex Niigata 45.15% (-0.07)
Draw 23.42% (+0.04)
J-Lease FC 31.44% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.5% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.99% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 21.01% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 57.68% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 42.32% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 36.29% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 63.71% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 22.88% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 77.12% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Albirex Niigata 29.13%
Draw 39.93%
J-Lease FC 30.94%

Team To Score First

Albirex Niigata 49.62% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.89% (+0.02)
J-Lease FC 44.49% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.31% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.25% (+0.03)
Under 8 29.44% (-0.06)
Over 9 47.73%
Equal 9 11.58% (+0.03)
Under 9 40.69% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 36.79% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 63.21% (+0.04)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 1.5 46.98% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 53.02% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 22.89% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 77.11% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.75% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.25% (+0.04)

J-Lease FC Goals

Over 0.5 65.76% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 34.24% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 35.53% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 64.47% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.67% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 84.33% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.86% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.14% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 45.15%
Draw 23.42%
J-Lease FC 31.45%
Albirex Niigata
2-1 @ 8.82% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.9% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.32% (-0.04)
Total : 45.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.13% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.89% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.43% (+0.02)
Total : 23.42%
J-Lease FC
0-1 @ 6.72% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.27% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.33% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.43% (+0.03)
Total : 31.45%