Club Friendlies 3
Jul 13, 2026 8.00am
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 8.00am
Albirex Niigata 0 - 0 Jubilo Iwata

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 8.30am
Sagan Tosu 0 - 0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 46.16%. A draw has a probability of 27.7% and a win for Albirex Niigata has a probability of 26.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.98%) , while for a Albirex Niigata win it is 1-0 (8.67%).

Result

Albirex Niigata 26.14% (+0.22)
Draw 27.7% (-0.02)
Sagan Tosu 46.16% (-0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.65% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.74% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 31.26% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 43.37% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 56.63% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 22.3% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 77.7% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 11.72% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 88.28% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Albirex Niigata 22.31% (+0.01)
Draw 45.76% (+0.08)
Sagan Tosu 31.93% (-0.10)

Team To Score First

Albirex Niigata 35.09% (-0.10)
No Goal 9.51% (+0.09)
Sagan Tosu 55.4% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.79% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.84% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.37% (-0.08)
Over 9 43.9% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 44.21% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 32.98% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 67.02% (-0.07)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 1.5 24.99% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.01% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.73% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.27% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.87% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.13% (-0.02)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 74.43% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 25.57% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 39.84% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 60.16% (+0.35)
Over 2.5 16.23% (-0.24)
Under 2.5 83.77% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 5.29% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 94.71% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 26.15%
Draw 27.69%
Sagan Tosu 46.16%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 8.67% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.1% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.09% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.56% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.82% (+0.04)
Total : 26.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.51% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 27.69%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 13.08% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.24% (-0.09)
Total : 46.16%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 10.30am
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Kaito Taniguchi 17' goal
  • Michael Fitzgerald 34' yellowcard
  • Michael Fitzgerald 61' goal
  • Danilo Gomes 67' yellowcard
  • Soya Fujiwara 84' goal
  • goal Kosuke Yamazaki 13'
  • goal Ayumu Yokoyama 32'
  • yellowcard Yoichi Naganuma 43'
  • goal Yoichi Naganuma 51'
  • goal Ayumu Yokoyama 52'
J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 24, 2024 5.00am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
  • Akito Fukuta 5' goal
  • Akito Fukuta 5' goal
  • Wataru Harada 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Wataru Harada 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Naoto Arai 31'
  • yellowcard Naoto Arai 31'
  • yellowcard Eiji Miyamoto 41'
  • yellowcard Eiji Miyamoto 41'
  • goal Kaito Taniguchi 45'+3'
  • goal Kaito Taniguchi 45'+3'
  • goal Naoto Arai 54'
  • goal Naoto Arai 54'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Oct 21, 2023 5.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Koji Suzuki 45'+4' goal
  • Michael Fitzgerald 63' yellowcard
  • goal Yuji Ono 45'+5'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 20, 2023 9.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Best Amenity Stadium
  • Yuji Ono 11' goal
  • Atsushi Kawata 80' goal