Club Friendlies 3
Jul 13, 2026 8.00am
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 8.00am
Albirex Niigata 0 - 0 Jubilo Iwata

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 10, 2026 8.30am
Sagan Tosu 0 - 0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw has a probability of 27.71% and a win for Albirex Niigata has a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.01%) , while for a Albirex Niigata win it is 1-0 (8.57%).

Result

Albirex Niigata 25.92% (+0.02)
Draw 27.71% (+0.04)
Sagan Tosu 46.37% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.81% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.02% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 30.98% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 43.68% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 56.32% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 22.4% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 77.6% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 11.8% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 88.2% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Albirex Niigata 22.3% (+0.11)
Draw 45.68% (-0.11)
Sagan Tosu 32.02% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Albirex Niigata 35.19% (+0.08)
No Goal 9.43% (+0.03)
Sagan Tosu 55.38% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.71% (-0.43)
Equal 8 11.85% (+0.03)
Under 8 32.44% (+0.41)
Over 9 43.83% (-0.42)
Equal 9 11.88% (-0.02)
Under 9 44.29% (+0.43)
Over 10.5 32.92% (-0.36)
Under 10.5 67.08% (+0.36)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 1.5 24.95%
Under 1.5 75.05%
Over 2.5 7.71% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 92.29% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.86% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.14% (+0.02)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5 74.7% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 25.3% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 40.19% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 59.81% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 16.47% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 83.53% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.39% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.61% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 25.93%
Draw 27.71%
Sagan Tosu 46.37%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 8.57% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.45% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 4.03% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.49% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.79% (-0.02)
Total : 25.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 9.43% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 27.71%
Sagan Tosu
0-1 @ 12.99% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.29% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.89% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 5.32% (-0.05)
Total : 46.37%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 10.30am
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Kaito Taniguchi 17' goal
  • Michael Fitzgerald 34' yellowcard
  • Michael Fitzgerald 61' goal
  • Danilo Gomes 67' yellowcard
  • Soya Fujiwara 84' goal
  • goal Kosuke Yamazaki 13'
  • goal Ayumu Yokoyama 32'
  • yellowcard Yoichi Naganuma 43'
  • goal Yoichi Naganuma 51'
  • goal Ayumu Yokoyama 52'
J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 24, 2024 5.00am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
  • Akito Fukuta 5' goal
  • Akito Fukuta 5' goal
  • Wataru Harada 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Wataru Harada 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Naoto Arai 31'
  • yellowcard Naoto Arai 31'
  • yellowcard Eiji Miyamoto 41'
  • yellowcard Eiji Miyamoto 41'
  • goal Kaito Taniguchi 45'+3'
  • goal Kaito Taniguchi 45'+3'
  • goal Naoto Arai 54'
  • goal Naoto Arai 54'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Oct 21, 2023 5.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Koji Suzuki 45'+4' goal
  • Michael Fitzgerald 63' yellowcard
  • goal Yuji Ono 45'+5'
J1 League Gameweek 14
May 20, 2023 9.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Best Amenity Stadium
  • Yuji Ono 11' goal
  • Atsushi Kawata 80' goal