Club Friendlies 3
Jul 10, 2026 8.30am
Best Amenity Stadium

Sagan Tosu vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 5.00am
Sagan Tosu 0 - 2 Giravanz Kitakyushu

ThespaKusatsu Gunma

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 4.00am
Ventforet Kofu 2 - 0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw has a probability of 23.72% and a win for ThespaKusatsu Gunma has a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.68%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.51%) , while for a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win it is 0-1 (5.9%).

Result

Sagan Tosu 55.97% (-0.08)
Draw 23.72% (+0.08)
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 20.3% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.3%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.95% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 24.05% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 52.02% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 47.98% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 29.01% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 70.99% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 16.74% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 83.26% (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Sagan Tosu 38.57% (-0.04)
Draw 42.06% (+0.03)
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 19.37% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Sagan Tosu 60.16% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.37% (+0.05)
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 33.47% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 58.62% (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.82%
Under 8 29.56% (-0.04)
Over 9 46.47% (+0.04)
Equal 9 12.15%
Under 9 41.38% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 35.08% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 64.92% (-0.04)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 1.5 51.63% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 48.37% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 24.9% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 75.1% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 9.73% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 90.27% (+0.07)

ThespaKusatsu Gunma Goals

Over 0.5 56.9% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 43.1% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 23.22%
Under 1.5 76.78%
Over 2.5 6.75% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 93.25% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.72% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.28% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sagan Tosu 55.98%
Draw 23.72%
ThespaKusatsu Gunma 20.28%
Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.76% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.68%
2-0 @ 9.54% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.03)
Other @ 9.64% (-0.08)
Total : 55.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.94% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.72%
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-1 @ 5.9% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.63% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Total : 20.28%