Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iwaki win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Montedio Yamagata had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iwaki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Montedio Yamagata win was 1-0 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.