Club Friendlies 1
Jul 28, 2026 1.00am
Al-Awwal Park

Al-Nassr vs Merida AD - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica B 2 - 1 Al-Nassr

Merida AD

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw has a probability of 16.9% and a win for Merida AD has a probability of 11.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.88%) , while for a Merida AD win it is 1-2 (3.4%).

Result

Al-Nassr 71.5% (+0.91)
Draw 16.9% (-0.50)
Merida AD 11.6% (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.8% (+0.90)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.89% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 16.11% (-1.02)
Over 2.5 63.6% (+1.61)
Under 2.5 36.4% (-1.61)
Over 3.5 41.5% (+1.80)
Under 3.5 58.5% (-1.80)
Over 4.5 28.77% (+1.65)
Under 4.5 71.23% (-1.65)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 1.5 68.87% (+1.53)
Under 1.5 31.13% (-1.52)
Over 2.5 43.07% (+1.76)
Under 2.5 56.93% (-1.76)
Over 3.5 22.35% (+1.43)
Under 3.5 77.65% (-1.42)

Merida AD Goals

Over 0.5 45.16% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 54.84% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 16.89% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 83.11% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 4.64% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 95.36% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.1% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.9% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 71.51%
Draw 16.9%
Merida AD 11.59%
Al-Nassr
2-0 @ 10.99% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.49)
3-0 @ 8.8% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.64% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.31% (+0.11)
Other @ 22.2% (+1.40)
Total : 71.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.88% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.13% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.32)
Other @ 0.15% (+0.02)
Total : 16.9%
Merida AD
1-2 @ 3.4% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 3.26% (-0.24)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.19% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.95% (+0.03)
Total : 11.59%