Club Friendlies 1
Jul 28, 2026 1.00am
Al-Awwal Park

Al-Nassr vs Merida AD - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica B 2 - 1 Al-Nassr

Merida AD

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw has a probability of 16.8% and a win for Merida AD has a probability of 11.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Al-Nassr win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.86%) , while for a Merida AD win it is 1-2 (3.42%).

Result

Al-Nassr 71.5%
Draw 16.8% (-0.10)
Merida AD 11.7% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

53% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.97% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 16.03% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 63.8% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 36.2% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 41.7% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 58.3% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 28.9% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 71.1% (-0.14)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 1.5 68.88% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 31.12% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 43.15% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 56.85% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 22.43% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 77.57% (-0.09)

Merida AD Goals

Over 0.5 45.25% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 54.75% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 16.99% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 83.01% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 4.67% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 95.33% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.1%
Under 3.5 98.9%

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 71.48%
Draw 16.81%
Merida AD 11.69%
Al-Nassr
2-0 @ 10.91% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.49%
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.77% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.65% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.34% (+0.03)
Other @ 22.3% (+0.11)
Total : 71.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.86% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.13%
0-0 @ 3.73% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.02)
Total : 16.81%
Merida AD
1-2 @ 3.42% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.26%
0-2 @ 1.43% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.97% (+0.03)
Total : 11.69%