Turkish Cup

Dec 23, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Fenerbahce
1-2
Besiktas Besiktas

Asensio (43' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Cerny (33', 90+1')

Coverage of the Turkish Cup Group Stage clash between Fenerbahce and Besiktas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-2 Besiktas
Tuesday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Turkish Cup

Besiktas

Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-2 Besiktas
Tuesday, December 23 at 5.30pm in Turkish Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 49.87%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (6.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Besiktas
49.87% ( -0.02)	23.67% ( 0.01)	26.46% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.54% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18% (

-0.04)

43.82% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79% (

-0.04)

66.21% (

0.05)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33% (

-0.02)

17.67% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.7% (

-0.04)

48.3% (

0.05)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

-0.01)

30.1% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

-0.02)

66.24% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 49.87%

Besiktas 26.46%

Draw 23.66%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Besiktas
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 49.87%	1-1 @ 11.06% 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 26.46%