FA Cup
Aug 11, 2026 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Alfred Davis Memorial Ground
  • 42' goal
  • 53' goal
  • 71' goal
  • 77' goal
  • 90'+1' goal
  • goal 74'

Marlow vs Newport Pagnell Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marlow

All competitions

Newport Pagnell Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marlow win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Newport Pagnell Town had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marlow win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.71%) and 3-1 (6.32%). The likeliest Newport Pagnell Town win was 1-2 (5.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.95%).

Result

Marlow 56.63%
Draw 20.42%
Newport Pagnell Town 22.95%

Both Teams to Score: 

63.35%

Goals

Over 1.5 86.2%
Under 1.5 13.8%
Over 2.5 68.75%
Under 2.5 31.25%
Over 3.5 48.75%
Under 3.5 51.25%
Over 4.5 34.02%
Under 4.5 65.98%

First Half Winner

Marlow 36.06%
Draw 45.6%
Newport Pagnell Town 18.35%

Team To Score First

Marlow 59.93%
No Goal 4.09%
Newport Pagnell Town 35.98%

Corners

Over 8 48.77%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 39.92%
Over 9 38%
Equal 9 10.76%
Under 9 51.23%
Over 10.5 28.54%
Under 10.5 71.46%

Marlow Goals

Over 1.5 61.5%
Under 1.5 38.5%
Over 2.5 37.61%
Under 2.5 62.39%
Over 3.5 19.99%
Under 3.5 80.01%

Newport Pagnell Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.31%
Under 0.5 41.69%
Over 1.5 32.09%
Under 1.5 67.91%
Over 2.5 14.04%
Under 2.5 85.96%
Over 3.5 5.7%
Under 3.5 94.3%

Score analysis

Marlow 56.63%
Draw 20.42%
Newport Pagnell Town 22.95%
Marlow
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 6.32%
1-0 @ 6.26%
3-0 @ 5.18%
3-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 19.45%
Total : 56.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.95%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 4.09%
3-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 20.42%
Newport Pagnell Town
1-2 @ 5.12%
0-1 @ 3.45%
0-2 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.75%
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 5.16%
Total : 22.95%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm