FA Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm

Newport Pagnell Town vs Marlow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport Pagnell Town

All competitions

Marlow

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newport Pagnell Town win with a probability of 56.77%. A win for Marlow has a probability of 25.61% and a draw has a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport Pagnell Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.96%) and 1-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Marlow win is 1-2 (5.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.05%).

Result

Newport Pagnell Town 56.77% (-0.08)
Draw 17.67% (-0.05)
Marlow 25.61% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.21% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.91% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 14.09% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 68.88% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 31.12% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 48.27% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 51.73% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 34.25% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 65.75% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Newport Pagnell Town 43.58% (-0.25)
Draw 35.01% (+0.17)
Marlow 21.41% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Newport Pagnell Town 64.98% (+0.05)
No Goal 3.61% (-0.04)
Marlow 31.41% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 47.76% (-0.93)
Equal 8 11.18% (+0.02)
Under 8 41.06% (+0.93)
Over 9 37.19% (-0.88)
Equal 9 10.57% (-0.07)
Under 9 52.24% (+0.93)
Over 10.5 27.95% (-0.77)
Under 10.5 72.05% (+0.76)

Newport Pagnell Town Goals

Over 1.5 60.17%
Under 1.5 39.83%
Over 2.5 37.79% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 62.21% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 20.29% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 79.71% (-0.02)

Marlow Goals

Over 0.5 56.8% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 43.2% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 32.11% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 67.89% (-0.21)
Over 2.5 15.24% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 84.76% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 6.43% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 93.57% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Newport Pagnell Town 56.76%
Draw 17.68%
Marlow 25.61%
Newport Pagnell Town
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.31% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.53% (+0.03)
Other @ 19.89%
Total : 56.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.05% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.4% (+0.02)
Total : 17.68%
Marlow
1-2 @ 5.23% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.05% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.03% (+0.09)
Total : 25.61%