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FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Victory Road
Dagenham & Redbridge

Leiston
1 - 5
Dag & Red

Curtis (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Umerah (7', 69'), Rees (73'), Hill (90+1'), Remy (90+3')
Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Leiston and Dagenham & Redbridge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leiston

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Last Game: Hornchurch 1-3 Leiston
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
Last Game: Yeovil 1-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Leiston had a probability of 14.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Leiston win it was 1-0 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.

Result
LeistonDrawDagenham & Redbridge
14.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)19.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)65.49% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.97% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.01% (0.015999999999998 0.02)40.99% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.62% (0.016999999999996 0.02)63.38% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Leiston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.65%
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.27% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.15% (0.020000000000003 0.02)36.85% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leiston 14.97%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 65.48%
    Draw 19.54%
LeistonDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 4.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 1.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38%
3-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 14.97%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.52%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.54%
0-2 @ 10.77%
0-1 @ 10.05%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-3 @ 7.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 7.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-4 @ 4.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 3.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-5 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 65.48%