Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Levski Sofia had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Levski Sofia win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.