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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 6pm UK
Vivacom Arena - Georgi Asparuhov
PAOK

Levski Sofia
2 - 0
PAOK

Felipe (1'), Bari (19')
Felipe (28'), Galchev (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zivkovic (56'), Kurtic (81'), Narey (82'), Douglas (84'), Sastre (90')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Levski Sofia and PAOK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Levski Sofia

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Levski Sofia 0-4 Larnaca
Thursday, August 1 at 5.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

PAOK

Last Six:
Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Levski Sofia had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.44%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Levski Sofia win it was 1-0 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Levski SofiaDrawPAOK
24.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.56% (0.042000000000002 0.04)50.12% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.49% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54% (-0.16 -0.16)53.45% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02% (-0.137 -0.14)74.98% (0.134 0.13)
Levski Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)37.08% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.13% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)73.86% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)21.34% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.69% (-0.125 -0.13)54.31% (0.123 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Levski Sofia 24.31%
    PAOK 50.12%
    Draw 25.55%
Levski SofiaDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 7.85% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.31%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 12.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 9.44% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 50.12%

How you voted: Levski Sofia vs PAOK

Levski Sofia
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
PAOK
66.7%
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