Conference League
Jul 30, 2026 6.30pm
2
3
ET Stadionul Ilie Oană
  • Almog Cohen 41' yellowcard
  • Omer Atzili 45'+2' goal
  • Noam Muche 49' yellowcard
  • Brayan Carabalí 51' yellowcard
  • Yarden Cohen 67' yellowcard
  • Degats Worko 69' yellowcard
  • Almog Cohen 69' yellowcard
  • Omer Atzili 87' goal
  • Yarden Shua 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Nana Antwi 115' yellowcard
  • goal Hrvoje Milicevic  26'
  • goal Hrvoje Milicevic  52'
  • goal Riad Bajic 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Zacharias Adoni 103'
  • yellowcard Godswill Ekpolo 105'+1'
  • yellowcard Hrvoje Milicevic  118'

Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Beitar Jerusalem

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.30pm
Larnaca 0 - 1 Beitar

AEK Larnaca

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.30pm
Larnaca 0 - 1 Beitar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (6.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Beitar Jerusalem 51.17% (-0.04)
Draw 23.63% (+0.01)
AEK Larnaca 25.24% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.23% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.36% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 22.64% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 54.42% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.58% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.06% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.94% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 19.11%
Under 4.5 80.89%

First Half Winner

Beitar Jerusalem 40.46% (+0.04)
Draw 40.3% (-0.07)
AEK Larnaca 19.24% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Beitar Jerusalem 58.32% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.18% (+0.02)
AEK Larnaca 35.5%

Corners

Over 8 58.96% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.23% (-0.01)
Under 8 29.81%
Over 9 47.42% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.54% (-0.03)
Under 9 41.04% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 36.52% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 63.48% (-0.04)

Beitar Jerusalem Goals

Over 1.5 49.62% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 50.38% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 24.62% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 75.38% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.06% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.94% (+0.01)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5 60.7%
Under 0.5 39.3%
Over 1.5 28.27% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.73% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 9.97% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.03% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.91% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.09% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Beitar Jerusalem 51.17%
Draw 23.63%
AEK Larnaca 25.24%
Beitar Jerusalem
1-0 @ 9.99% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 9.93% (-0.01)
Total : 51.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06%
0-0 @ 6.18% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.63%
AEK Larnaca
0-1 @ 6.51% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.34%
0-2 @ 3.62% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.78% (+0.01)
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
  • Mike van der Hoorn 72' redcard
  • yellowcard Eugene Ansah 7'
  • yellowcard Omer Atzili 54'
  • yellowcard Noam Muche 65'
  • goal Brayan Carabalí 77'
  • yellowcard Ziv Ben Shimol 90'+4'