Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-17s win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Italy Under-17s had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-17s win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Italy Under-17s win was 1-0 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.