Italy U17s
2 - 2
Portugal U17s

Inacio (20'), Baralla (59')
Mambuku (15'), Onoguekhan Elimoghale (45+1'), Alessandro Steffanoni (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pedro Dores Manuel (28'), Alves Soares (67')
Armando Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui (13'), Souto Mide (45')

Portugal U17s win 4-3 on penalties

Coverage of the Euro Under-17s Championship Semi-Finals clash between Italy Under-17s and Portugal Under-17s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Under-17s

Last Game: Belgium U17s 1-2 Italy U17s
Monday, May 26 at 7.30pm in Euro Under-17s Championship

Portugal Under-17s

Last Game: Portugal U17s 2-1 Germany U17s
Sunday, May 25 at 7.30pm in Euro Under-17s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-17s win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Italy Under-17s had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-17s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Italy Under-17s win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Italy Under-17s	Draw	Portugal Under-17s
30.29%	24.69%	45.02%

Both teams to score 56.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.03%

45.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72%

68.28%

Italy Under-17s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.53%

28.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.77%

64.23%

Portugal Under-17s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5%

20.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.01%

52.99%

Score Analysis

Italy Under-17s 30.29%

Portugal Under-17s 45.02%

Draw 24.68%

Italy Under-17s	Draw	Portugal Under-17s
1-0 @ 7.33% 2-1 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.29%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 5.78% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.68%	0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 7.33% 1-3 @ 4.86% 0-3 @ 3.87% 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.02%