Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-17s win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Italy Under-17s had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-17s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Italy Under-17s win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.