Euro Under-17s Championship | Group Stage

May 23, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Arena Egnatia

Italy U17s
4 - 2
England U17s

Inacio (10' pen.), De Paoli (37'), Campaniello (67'), Luongo (77')
Baralla (22'), Mambuku (26'), Inacio (42')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gomes Rodriguez (23', 49')
Gomes Rodriguez (75'), Ky Ridgeon (75'), (88')

Coverage of the Euro Under-17s Championship Group Stage clash between Italy Under-17s and England Under-17s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Under-17s

Last Game: Italy U17s 2-1 Czech Rep. U17s
Tuesday, May 20 at 7.30pm in Euro Under-17s Championship

Next Game: Belgium U17s vs. Italy U17s
Monday, May 26 at 7.30pm in Euro Under-17s Championship

England Under-17s

Last Game: England U17s 1-1 Belgium U17s
Tuesday, May 20 at 5pm in Euro Under-17s Championship

Next Game: Czech Rep. U17s vs. England U17s
Monday, May 26 at 7.30pm in Euro Under-17s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-17s win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Italy Under-17s had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-17s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Italy Under-17s win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Italy Under-17s	Draw	England Under-17s
35.11% ( 0.64)	23.17% ( -0.12)	41.72% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 64.32% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.97% (

0.76)

37.03% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.78% (

0.82)

59.22% (

-0.82)

Italy Under-17s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.67% (

0.69)

21.33% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.72% (

1.05)

54.28% (

-1.05)

England Under-17s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75% (

0.1)

18.25% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.71% (

0.16)

49.29% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Italy Under-17s 35.11%

England Under-17s 41.72%

Draw 23.16%

Italy Under-17s	Draw	England Under-17s
2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.11%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.76% Total : 41.72%