Euro Under-17s Championship
Jun 5, 2024 6.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro
  • Federico Coletta 7' goal
  • Francesco Camarda 16' goal
  • Francesco Camarda 50' goal
  • Emanuele Sala 57' yellowcard
  • Francesco Camarda 69' yellowcard
  • Matteo Mantini 80' yellowcard
  • Mattia Mosconi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rui Pedro Ferreira da Silva 36'
  • yellowcard Edgar Pires Mota 85'

Italy Under-17s vs Portugal Under-17s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy Under-17s

All competitions

Portugal Under-17s

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-17s win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Portugal Under-17s had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-17s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Portugal Under-17s win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-17s would win this match.

Result

Italy Under-17s 44.61% (+2.86)
Draw 24.94% (+0.34)
Portugal Under-17s 30.45% (-3.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.1% (-2.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.99% (-2.64)
Under 2.5 47.01% (+2.65)
Over 3.5 30.75% (-2.51)
Under 3.5 69.26% (+2.52)
Over 4.5 15.19% (-1.79)
Under 4.5 84.81% (+1.80)

Italy Under-17s Goals

Over 0.5 78.89% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 21.11% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 46.05% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 53.95% (-0.30)

Portugal Under-17s Goals

Over 0.5 71.12% (-3.31)
Under 0.5 28.88% (+3.31)
Over 1.5 35.25% (-4.30)
Under 1.5 64.75% (+4.31)

Score analysis

Italy Under-17s 44.61%
Draw 24.94%
Portugal Under-17s 30.45%
Italy Under-17s
1-0 @ 9.48% (+1.06)
2-1 @ 9.16% (+0.28)
2-0 @ 7.38% (+0.87)
3-1 @ 4.75% (+0.18)
3-0 @ 3.82% (+0.47)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.18)
4-1 @ 1.85% (+0.08)
4-0 @ 1.49% (+0.19)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 44.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.77% (+0.29)
0-0 @ 6.1% (+0.65)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.37)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.94%
Portugal Under-17s
0-1 @ 7.57% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.52)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.37)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.54)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.40)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.36)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 30.45%