Euro Under-17s Championship | Group Stage

May 26, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Stadiumi Niko Dovana

Belgium U17s
1 - 2
Italy U17s

De Wannemacker (13')
Jonkers (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Inacio (62', 79' pen.)
Comotto (24'), Pavesi (40')

Coverage of the Euro Under-17s Championship Group Stage clash between Belgium Under-17s and Italy Under-17s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgium Under-17s

Last Game: Belgium U17s 3-1 Czech Rep. U17s
Friday, May 23 at 5pm in Euro Under-17s Championship

Italy Under-17s

Last Game: Italy U17s 4-2 England U17s
Friday, May 23 at 7.30pm in Euro Under-17s Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-17s win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Belgium Under-17s had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-17s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Belgium Under-17s win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Italy Under-17s in this match.

Result
Belgium Under-17s	Draw	Italy Under-17s
18.57% ( -0.3)	20.08% ( -0.07)	61.35% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 59.18% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.33% (

-0.17)

36.67% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.17% (

-0.18)

58.82% (

0.18)

Belgium Under-17s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.91% (

-0.41)

33.08% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.32% (

-0.45)

69.68% (

0.45)

Italy Under-17s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.44% (

0.05)

11.55% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.51% (

0.1)

36.49% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Belgium Under-17s 18.57%

Italy Under-17s 61.35%

Draw 20.08%

Belgium Under-17s	Draw	Italy Under-17s
2-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 18.57%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.08%	1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.82% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.35%