Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-17s win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Belgium Under-17s had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-17s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Belgium Under-17s win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Italy Under-17s in this match.