Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-17s win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Germany Under-17s had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-17s win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Germany Under-17s win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-17s would win this match.