Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland Under-17s win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Germany Under-17s had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland Under-17s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Germany Under-17s win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Germany Under-17s would win this match.