Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-17s win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.37% and a win for Montenegro U17 had a probability of 19.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-17s win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.15%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%) , while for a Montenegro U17 win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.