Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-17s win with a probability of 55.46%. A win for Spain Under-17s had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-17s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Spain Under-17s win was 1-0 (5.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.