Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-17s win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Estonia U17 had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-17s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Estonia U17 win was 2-1 (5.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.