Club Friendlies 3
Jul 15, 2026 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Gomes

Estrela Amadora vs Naval 1º de Maio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 1.00pm
Alverca 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora

Naval 1º de Maio

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Naval 1º de Maio had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Naval 1º de Maio win was 0-1 (9.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Estrela Amadora 37.59% (+0.08)
Draw 28.47% (+0.12)
Naval 1º de Maio 33.94% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.94% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.38% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 30.62% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 45.05% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 54.95% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 23.42% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 76.58% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 12.56% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 87.44% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Estrela Amadora 28.3% (+0.02)
Draw 46.15% (+0.09)
Naval 1º de Maio 25.56% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Estrela Amadora 46.66% (-0.18)
No Goal 10.09% (+0.11)
Naval 1º de Maio 43.25% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 51.59% (+0.03)
Equal 8 12.21% (-0.03)
Under 8 36.2% (+0.02)
Over 9 39.74% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.86% (-0.03)
Under 9 48.41% (-0.03)
Over 10.5 29.19% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 70.81% (-0.07)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 1.5 34.52% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 65.48% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 13.62% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 86.38% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.4% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.6% (+0.02)

Naval 1º de Maio Goals

Over 0.5 66.08% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 33.92% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 31.72% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 68.28% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 11.67% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 88.33% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 3.45% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.55% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 37.59%
Draw 28.48%
Naval 1º de Maio 33.93%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 10.62% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.06% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.24% (-0.02)
Total : 37.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.09% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 28.48%
Naval 1º de Maio
0-1 @ 9.91% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.49% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.29% (-0.09)
Total : 33.93%