Club Friendlies 3
Estrela Amadora vs Naval 1º de Maio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Naval 1º de Maio had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Naval 1º de Maio win was 0-1 (9.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result
Estrela Amadora
37.59%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
28.47%
▲
(+0.12)
Naval 1º de Maio
33.94%
▼
(-0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
48.94%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 1.5
69.38%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
30.62%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 2.5
45.05%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 2.5
54.95%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 3.5
23.42%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 3.5
76.58%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 4.5
12.56%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 4.5
87.44%
▲
(+0.18)
First Half Winner
Estrela Amadora
28.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
46.15%
▲
(+0.09)
Naval 1º de Maio
25.56%
▼
(-0.11)
Team To Score First
Estrela Amadora
46.66%
▼
(-0.18)
No Goal
10.09%
▲
(+0.11)
Naval 1º de Maio
43.25%
▲
(+0.07)
Corners
Over 8
51.59%
▲
(+0.03)
Equal 8
12.21%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 8
36.2%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 9
39.74%
▲
(+0.06)
Equal 9
11.86%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 9
48.41%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 10.5
29.19%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 10.5
70.81%
▼
(-0.07)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 1.5
34.52%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
65.48%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 2.5
13.62%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
86.38%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
4.4%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
95.6%
▲
(+0.02)
Naval 1º de Maio Goals
Over 0.5
66.08%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
33.92%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
31.72%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 1.5
68.28%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 2.5
11.67%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 2.5
88.33%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
3.45%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
96.55%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Estrela Amadora
37.59%
Draw
28.48%
Naval 1º de Maio
33.93%
Estrela Amadora
1-0
@
10.62%
▲
(+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 37.59%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 37.59%
Draw
1-1
@
12.78%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 28.48%
0-0 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 28.48%
Naval 1º de Maio
0-1
@
9.91%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 33.93%
1-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 33.93%