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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 20.91% | 25.37% | 53.72% |
| Both teams to score 46.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.13% | 55.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.02% | 76.98% |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.24% | 41.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.77% | 78.23% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% | 20.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.51% | 53.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% 2-1 @ 5.2% 2-0 @ 3.32% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.19% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.14% Total : 20.91% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 13.64% 0-2 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-3 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 4.89% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.71% |